Testing the cointegrating rank with uncorrelated but dependent errors

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Abstract

We study the asymptotic behavior of the reduced rank estimator of the cointegrating space and adjustment space for vector error correction time series models with nonindependent innovations. It is shown that the distribution of the adjustment space can be quite different for models with iid innovations and models with nonindependent innovations. It is also shown that the likelihood ratio test remains valid when the assumption of iid Gaussian errors is relaxed. Monte Carlo experiments illustrate the finite sample performance of the likelihood ratio test using various kinds of weak error processes.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)24-50
Number of pages27
JournalStochastic Analysis and Applications
Volume27
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2009
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Cointegration
  • Likelihood ratio test
  • Reduced rank regression
  • Strong mixing condition
  • Vector error correction model

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