@article{1a47cb38ca244744a8335c7d245ff53d,
title = "The future of natural gas infrastructure development in the United states",
abstract = "Changes in the natural gas market have spawned the need for pipeline infrastructure planning. Previous studies have analyzed natural gas infrastructure development largely independent of the interactions of the natural gas sector with the broader economy. However, natural gas infrastructure development is strongly influenced by broader domestic and international socioeconomic conditions. We couple a global Human-Earth system model with state-level detail in the United States (GCAM-USA) that provides the broader socioeconomic context for natural gas supply and demand with a natural gas infrastructure investment model (NANGAM) to examine inter-state natural gas pipeline infrastructure development in the U.S. under a range of socioeconomic scenarios. Here we show that existing pipeline infrastructure in the U.S. is insufficient to satisfy the increasing demand for natural gas and investments in pipeline capacity will be required. However, the geographic distribution of investments within the U.S. is heterogeneous and depends on the capacity of existing infrastructure as well as the magnitude of increase in demand. Our results also illustrate the risks of under-utilization of pipeline capacity, in particular, under a scenario characterized by long-term systemic transitions toward a low-carbon economy. More broadly, our study highlights the value of integrated approaches to facilitate informed decision-making.",
keywords = "Energy, Energy markets, Energy models, Energy policy, Natural gas, Natural gas infrastructure",
author = "Felipe Feijoo and Iyer, {Gokul C.} and Charalampos Avraam and Siddiqui, {Sauleh A.} and Clarke, {Leon E.} and Sriram Sankaranarayanan and Binsted, {Matthew T.} and Patel, {Pralit L.} and Prates, {Nathalia C.} and Evelyn Torres-Alfaro and Wise, {Marshall A.}",
note = "Funding Information: Research support for F.F, G.C.I., P.L.P., M.A.W., M.T.B., and L.E.C. was provided by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, as part of research in Multi-Sector Dynamics, Earth and Environmental System Modeling Program. The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors alone. Research support for S.A.S., C.A., S.S. was funded in part by NSF Grant # 1745375 [EAGER: SSDIM: Generating Synthetic Data on Interdependent Food, Energy, and Transportation Networks via Stochastic, Bi-level Optimization]. NANGAM is based in part on the multi-fuel energy equilibrium model MultiMod [31] . The MultiMod was developed by Dr. Daniel Huppmann at DIW Berlin as part of the RESOURCES project, in collaboration with Dr. Ruud Egging (NTNU, Trondheim), Dr. Franziska Holz (DIW Berlin) and others (see http://diw.de/multimod). We are grateful to the original developers of MultiMod for sharing their model, which we further extended as part of this work. Funding Information: Research support for F.F, G.C.I., P.L.P., M.A.W., M.T.B., and L.E.C. was provided by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, as part of research in Multi-Sector Dynamics, Earth and Environmental System Modeling Program. The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors alone. Research support for S.A.S., C.A., S.S. was funded in part by NSF Grant #1745375 [EAGER: SSDIM: Generating Synthetic Data on Interdependent Food, Energy, and Transportation Networks via Stochastic, Bi-level Optimization]. NANGAM is based in part on the multi-fuel energy equilibrium model MultiMod [31]. The MultiMod was developed by Dr. Daniel Huppmann at DIW Berlin as part of the RESOURCES project, in collaboration with Dr. Ruud Egging (NTNU, Trondheim), Dr. Franziska Holz (DIW Berlin) and others (see http://diw.de/multimod). We are grateful to the original developers of MultiMod for sharing their model, which we further extended as part of this work. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2018 Elsevier Ltd",
year = "2018",
month = oct,
day = "15",
doi = "10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.06.037",
language = "English",
volume = "228",
pages = "149--166",
journal = "Applied Energy",
issn = "0306-2619",
}